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Turkey's Marginal Role in European Defense

16 Dec 2025
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This article is a summary of a scientific article titled "From the Outside In: Turkey's Marginal Role in European Defense Industrial Cooperation Since the End of the Cold War" written by Karl Dewe, Heine Jo, Finella McGirty, Esther Sabatino, and Tom Waldoin.

I share with you some useful insights from the detailed report published last year, which attempts to explore and study Turkey's marginal role in European defense industrial cooperation since the end of the Cold War. The report adds historical context while assessing the current challenges and prospects related to Turkey's participation in the European defense landscape, providing an advanced analysis of the factors shaping this unique path.

It states that the new security environment provided by the post-Cold War period has launched a continuous phase of defense industrial consolidation, particularly in the aerospace sector across Europe. Specifically, this has led to the need for multinational aerospace companies like Airbus and MBDA to drive European defense industry. The process of consolidation in the defense industry had already begun in Turkey during the 1970s and 1980s, based primarily on the need to achieve strategic autonomy. In 2004, Turkey focused on local designs with a comprehensive goal: to reduce its dependence on foreign partners and strengthen its hard power in the defense sector.

Despite these efforts, the country remained outside significant European defense mechanisms. Political and strategic differences, along with the shift of its activities from Western European to Transatlantic European Union, further curtailed Turkey's potential participation in cooperative defense projects. This can largely be attributed to specific security concerns for Turkey, its geographical position placing it at a crossroads, and foreign policy decisions that often conflict with those of its European partners.

Strategic Autonomy and Local Development

While Turkey follows an independent path, asserting its strategic autonomy based on national attempts to create independent defense capabilities, it has made remarkable progress in its local defense industry. Current successes include the development of İstif-class frigates and advanced unmanned aerial vehicles like Bayraktar Kızılelma. These developments demonstrate an increasing political will to reduce reliance on foreign technology and empower the local defense manufacturing base.

The continued brain drain, high inflation rates, and excessive reliance on imported subsystems have hindered Turkey's strategic autonomy path. In this regard, the difficulties faced by Turkey illustrate how challenging it is to create a self-sufficient defense industry in a rapidly changing global security environment. Despite all the challenges, Turkey's strategic shift toward developing and exporting locally made defense technologies has made it an emerging player in the global defense market. This shift has enabled Turkey to meet its security needs and become a competitive player in international defense markets.

Current Challenges and Strategic Shifts

The report points to several challenges Turkey faces in its pursuit of fully achieving its strategic ambitions. Rising inflation rates and economic fluctuations have impacted the defense budget and procurement. Another significant obstacle is the brain drain of skilled professionals to other countries, posing issues in maintaining and developing Turkey's technological capabilities. There is also a major challenge in relying on imported subsystems—despite its decrease— that remains a vulnerability to be overcome to allow for true self-sufficiency.

Despite the difficulties, Turkey has made some strategic shifts that have placed it in a better position in the global defense arena. The country has significantly invested in research and development, creating a favorable environment for innovation and technological advancement. Furthermore, Turkey has leveraged its geopolitical position to forge strategic cooperation with countries outside the traditional European sphere, such as Qatar, Azerbaijan, and Ukraine. This cooperation has enabled technology transfers, joint projects, and increased defense exports.

Future Prospects and Recommendations

Here are some recommendations offered by the report to achieve the full potential of Turkey's role in European and global defense cooperation. The area of close cooperation with European countries on a bilateral and multilateral basis can benefit from mutual trust and joint projects for closer collaboration. In turn, these connections will help Turkey to integrate more cohesively into the European defense structure despite the political and strategic differences that have obscured previous years.

In the short term, Turkey should reap all the benefits of the competitive advantage provided by the depreciation of the lira and ensure the maximization of export markets. Focusing on areas where European competition is relatively weak can yield significant economic and strategic gains. Additionally, increasing investment in research and development is crucial if Turkey wishes to maintain and further develop its locally gained defense capabilities. This investment will ensure Turkey remains at the forefront of technological innovation and sustain its competitive edge in the global defense market.

Conclusion

This report emphasizes the current challenges and opportunities in Turkey's defense industries. In this regard, strategic partnerships and innovations are needed to highlight Turkey's role in global defense cooperation. However, every success achieved and every challenge overcome places Turkey in a prominent position on the international stage, making it an essential player in both European and global security and defense.

All details are available in the report for anyone interested. Let us continue the discussion on how to drive cooperation and growth in this vital sector. By leveraging its unique strengths and addressing challenges, Turkey will enhance its strategic autonomy and significantly contribute to global defense initiatives.


This is an AI-generated English translation. The original text is in العربية

Moamen Ashraf

PhD Researcher in Defense Contracting and Cooperation Policies